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Red87
174137.8
318024.7
601221.2
Blue106
86841.5
286715.8
217132.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions838270758085909510010587106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#12
37.80.5
36.036.4
Auto8.9
Teleop23.7
End5.2
blue by 3.7
868
#1
41.51.7
37.639.3
Auto9.4
Teleop26.0
End6.1
Second
3180
#23
24.70.5
24.625.0
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End3.2
blue by 7.6
32.21.7
29.331.0
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End5.5
Third
6012
#18
21.20.7
19.620.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End4.1
red by 5.4
2867
#30
15.82.7
13.015.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsEarned