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Red72
317631.9
101821.2
164624.3
Blue122
498241.6
394733.1
86841.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7712520406010014016018072122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.91.3
33.332.0
Auto9.1
Teleop17.8
End5.0
blue by 9.8
41.60.5
41.842.3
Auto8.3
Teleop27.6
End5.8
Second
1646
#34
24.31.3
25.624.3
Auto9.0
Teleop12.9
End2.4
blue by 17.2
868
#1
41.50.5
39.139.6
Auto9.4
Teleop26.0
End6.1
Third
1018
#27
21.21.6
22.821.2
Auto3.7
Teleop15.2
End2.3
blue by 11.9
3947
#13
33.10.7
33.133.8
Auto9.1
Teleop19.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed35%Capture oddsEarned