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Red121
410337.4
44730.8
394733.1
Blue80
102445.4
478119.2
594424.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008740608012014016012180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.41.4
37.238.6
Auto7.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
blue by 8.0
45.40.5
42.542.0
Auto6.3
Teleop33.5
End5.7
Second
3947
#13
33.12.3
29.932.2
Auto9.1
Teleop19.6
End4.4
red by 8.9
5944
#24
24.20.6
23.222.6
Auto5.1
Teleop15.8
End3.3
Third
447
#16
30.81.4
27.929.3
Auto10.5
Teleop16.1
End4.1
red by 11.6
4781
#36
19.20.6
21.120.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed