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Red112
29233.1
86841.5
174739.9
Blue74
7136.4
101821.2
448525.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127805010015020011274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
41.50.3
40.840.5
Auto9.4
Teleop26.0
End6.1
red by 5.1
71
#14
36.40.9
38.237.3
Auto8.0
Teleop18.7
End9.7
Second
1747
#19
39.90.3
41.741.4
Auto12.9
Teleop23.1
End4.0
red by 14.6
4485
#25
25.30.7
25.324.5
Auto8.0
Teleop14.8
End2.5
Third
292
#6
33.10.3
34.033.7
Auto9.4
Teleop18.3
End5.4
red by 11.9
1018
#27
21.21.1
21.620.5
Auto3.7
Teleop15.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
70%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsMissed