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Red106
101821.2
152925.3
217132.2
Blue111
484613.0
172034.6
102445.4
32%Model gave it68%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75900204060100120140106111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.21.7
30.932.7
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End5.5
blue by 13.2
45.41.4
42.143.5
Auto6.3
Teleop33.5
End5.7
Second
1529
#20
25.31.9
23.425.3
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End2.4
blue by 9.4
1720
#21
34.61.6
31.232.8
Auto9.7
Teleop22.3
End2.6
Third
1018
#27
21.22.3
20.522.8
Auto3.7
Teleop15.2
End2.3
red by 8.2
4846
#35
13.01.4
11.613.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed