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Red110
7434.5
44730.8
594424.2
Blue82
318024.7
174739.9
482421.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions859420406012014016011082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#17
34.51.7
32.033.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.3
End10.3
blue by 5.4
1747
#19
39.90.9
41.440.5
Auto12.9
Teleop23.1
End4.0
Second
447
#16
30.81.4
29.430.8
Auto10.5
Teleop16.1
End4.1
red by 6.1
3180
#23
24.70.9
26.225.3
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End3.2
Third
5944
#24
24.21.6
22.624.2
Auto5.1
Teleop15.8
End3.3
red by 2.4
4824
#28
21.80.9
22.721.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed