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Red171
174741.8
102441.0
4523.5
Blue113
394032.3
170132.6
314725.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321096080100120140160180200171113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.4
41.541.8
Auto15.5
Teleop21.8
End4.4
red by 9.2
32.60.2
32.732.6
Auto7.2
Teleop20.3
End5.0
Second
41.00.4
40.641.0
Auto7.8
Teleop27.0
End6.2
red by 8.7
32.30.2
32.532.3
Auto7.1
Teleop17.8
End7.4
Third
45
#15
23.50.4
23.123.5
Auto5.6
Teleop16.2
End1.7
blue by 1.9
3147
#27
25.40.2
25.525.4
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End7.6