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Red146
498232.8
393628.9
219716.9
Blue137
46126.1
86831.6
540325.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84104204060120140160146137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4982
#12
32.80.6
31.131.7
Auto8.2
Teleop18.5
End6.1
red by 1.2
868
#8
31.60.2
31.231.4
Auto7.0
Teleop19.2
End5.4
Second
28.90.6
27.127.8
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End4.2
red by 2.8
461
#16
26.10.2
25.726.0
Auto5.4
Teleop17.8
End3.0
Third
2197
#33
16.90.6
15.115.7
Auto2.4
Teleop11.1
End3.4
blue by 8.4
5403
#28
25.30.2
24.925.1
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End4.6