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Red151
498232.8
393628.9
219716.9
Blue110
46126.1
86831.6
540325.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86105204060120140160151110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4982
#12
32.80.7
31.732.4
Auto8.2
Teleop18.5
End6.1
red by 1.2
868
#8
31.60.2
31.431.6
Auto7.0
Teleop19.2
End5.4
Second
28.90.7
27.828.4
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End4.2
red by 2.8
461
#16
26.10.2
26.026.1
Auto5.4
Teleop17.8
End3.0
Third
2197
#33
16.90.7
15.716.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.1
End3.4
blue by 8.4
5403
#28
25.30.2
25.125.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End4.6