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Red117
394032.3
170132.6
314725.4
Blue127
13535.8
29228.8
44723.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091076080100120140160117127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.2
31.531.7
Auto7.2
Teleop20.3
End5.0
blue by 3.3
135
#11
35.80.5
35.435.9
Auto10.0
Teleop18.1
End7.7
Second
32.30.2
31.331.5
Auto7.1
Teleop17.8
End7.4
red by 3.5
292
#9
28.80.5
28.428.8
Auto8.2
Teleop15.7
End4.8
Third
3147
#27
25.40.2
24.324.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End7.6
red by 2.1
447
#22
23.20.5
22.823.3
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End3.3