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Red80
290915.7
518818.5
150140.1
Blue39
82926.8
482417.6
349416.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627102040801001201401608039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.11.2
32.633.9
Auto12.0
Teleop24.4
End3.8
red by 13.3
829
#20
26.83.2
26.523.3
Auto7.7
Teleop15.4
End3.7
Second
5188
#23
18.51.2
17.118.4
Auto1.4
Teleop13.9
End3.2
red by 1.0
4824
#30
17.63.2
17.314.1
Auto2.3
Teleop12.6
End2.6
Third
2909
#34
15.72.1
11.713.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End1.1
blue by 0.7
3494
#26
16.43.2
23.920.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed