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Red75
479116.1
82926.8
540217.5
Blue42
386521.1
335727.9
482417.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625802040801001201401607542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#20
26.80.0
24.424.5
Auto7.7
Teleop15.4
End3.7
blue by 1.1
3357
#10
27.91.7
23.021.3
Auto7.1
Teleop15.3
End5.5
Second
5402
#37
17.50.0
19.219.2
Auto0.2
Teleop14.5
End2.9
blue by 3.6
3865
#31
21.11.7
17.315.7
Auto7.7
Teleop10.9
End2.5
Third
4791
#32
16.10.0
16.016.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End0.3
blue by 1.5
4824
#30
17.61.7
16.614.9
Auto2.3
Teleop12.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsMissed48%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed