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Red125
393628.9
498232.8
410330.4
Blue57
82926.8
484610.3
448519.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions876120408010012014016012557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4982
#12
32.82.8
28.531.3
Auto8.2
Teleop18.5
End6.1
red by 6.0
829
#20
26.80.6
25.024.4
Auto7.7
Teleop15.4
End3.7
Second
4103
#13
30.43.0
28.831.9
Auto7.9
Teleop16.6
End5.9
red by 11.4
4485
#35
19.00.6
21.921.3
Auto2.0
Teleop14.0
End3.0
Third
28.92.8
23.626.4
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End4.2
red by 18.6
4846
#38
10.30.6
16.115.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed