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Red83
410330.4
13535.8
318018.4
Blue122
150140.1
86831.6
355935.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919840608012014016018083122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#11
35.81.0
36.135.1
Auto10.0
Teleop18.1
End7.7
blue by 4.3
40.11.8
38.340.2
Auto12.0
Teleop24.4
End3.8
Second
4103
#13
30.41.1
31.930.8
Auto7.9
Teleop16.6
End5.9
blue by 4.5
35.02.4
28.931.4
Auto8.0
Teleop20.5
End6.4
Third
3180
#19
18.41.0
21.420.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End1.5
blue by 13.2
868
#8
31.62.4
27.229.6
Auto7.0
Teleop19.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned