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Red64
174130.6
335727.9
217126.6
Blue112
394032.3
170132.6
314725.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11011070809010012013064112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#17
30.60.5
31.130.6
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End4.0
blue by 2.0
32.60.1
32.332.3
Auto7.2
Teleop20.3
End5.0
Second
3357
#10
27.90.5
28.427.9
Auto7.1
Teleop15.3
End5.5
blue by 4.4
32.30.1
32.032.0
Auto7.1
Teleop17.8
End7.4
Third
2171
#14
26.60.5
27.226.6
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End5.4
red by 1.3
3147
#27
25.40.1
25.025.1
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End7.6