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Red160
62437.5
496741.2
250244.6
Blue165
46139.6
205254.8
174749.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11214850100200250160165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#27
44.63.1
41.544.6
Auto10.2
Teleop25.2
End9.2
blue by 10.3
2052
#13
54.81.8
53.154.8
Auto17.7
Teleop31.2
End6.0
Second
4967
#66
41.23.1
38.241.2
Auto8.9
Teleop25.3
End7.1
blue by 8.2
1747
#18
49.41.8
47.649.4
Auto15.1
Teleop27.5
End6.8
Third
624
#42
37.53.1
34.537.5
Auto8.6
Teleop26.1
End2.8
blue by 2.1
461
#67
39.61.8
37.839.6
Auto6.4
Teleop29.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
28%Capture oddsEarned42%Capture oddsEarned