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Red130
2746.5
313043.2
171847.3
Blue205
22563.8
259051.9
245159.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13717750100150200250130205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#57
47.30.6
47.947.3
Auto9.9
Teleop28.4
End9.0
blue by 16.5
225
#14
63.82.6
60.262.8
Auto16.7
Teleop36.9
End10.2
Second
27
#31
46.50.6
47.146.5
Auto11.7
Teleop26.5
End8.2
blue by 12.9
2451
#11
59.42.6
57.059.5
Auto17.6
Teleop33.7
End8.1
Third
3130
#35
43.20.6
43.743.2
Auto16.1
Teleop23.1
End3.9
blue by 8.7
2590
#38
51.92.6
49.351.9
Auto12.2
Teleop32.6
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
33%Capture oddsMissed87%Capture oddsEarned