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Red98
382452.2
525450.1
172034.9
Blue114
140530.4
23442.7
2746.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13612205010015020098114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#46
52.22.5
47.545.0
Auto17.1
Teleop31.6
End3.5
red by 5.7
27
#31
46.50.4
49.148.6
Auto11.7
Teleop26.5
End8.2
Second
5254
#22
50.12.5
46.343.8
Auto10.3
Teleop32.0
End7.9
red by 7.4
234
#68
42.70.4
40.239.8
Auto12.1
Teleop23.1
End7.5
Third
1720
#63
34.92.5
36.133.6
Auto8.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
red by 4.5
1405
#52
30.40.4
31.430.9
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
49%Capture oddsMissed56%Capture oddsMissed