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Red120
171847.3
49448.8
172034.9
Blue170
259051.9
19573.4
250244.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127162050100200250120170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#24
48.80.6
46.846.2
Auto16.0
Teleop25.4
End7.5
blue by 24.5
195
#4
73.41.2
69.670.8
Auto21.0
Teleop42.4
End10.0
Second
1718
#57
47.30.6
47.947.3
Auto9.9
Teleop28.4
End9.0
blue by 4.6
2590
#38
51.91.2
45.746.9
Auto12.2
Teleop32.6
End7.1
Third
1720
#63
34.90.6
33.633.1
Auto8.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
blue by 9.7
2502
#27
44.61.2
37.038.2
Auto10.2
Teleop25.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
49%Capture oddsMissed73%Capture oddsEarned