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Red156
368347.0
86857.8
245159.4
Blue102
23442.7
173143.2
167537.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169109050150200250156102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#11
59.40.3
56.055.7
Auto17.6
Teleop33.7
End8.1
red by 16.2
1731
#39
43.20.8
40.039.2
Auto10.5
Teleop29.7
End3.0
Second
868
#20
57.80.3
52.051.7
Auto13.7
Teleop38.1
End6.0
red by 15.0
234
#68
42.70.8
38.637.7
Auto12.1
Teleop23.1
End7.5
Third
3683
#16
47.00.3
47.547.2
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End9.9
red by 9.3
1675
#61
37.70.8
35.734.9
Auto9.1
Teleop24.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
92%Capture oddsMissed31%Capture oddsMissed