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Red130
108644.3
49448.8
246837.1
Blue107
22563.8
2036.9
91039.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11914850100200250130107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#24
48.80.7
45.946.5
Auto16.0
Teleop25.4
End7.5
blue by 15.0
225
#14
63.82.8
60.157.3
Auto16.7
Teleop36.9
End10.2
Second
1086
#49
44.30.7
35.836.5
Auto10.5
Teleop30.1
End3.8
red by 4.9
910
#55
39.42.8
38.035.2
Auto15.0
Teleop19.7
End4.7
Third
2468
#48
37.10.7
38.339.0
Auto10.7
Teleop23.8
End2.6
red by 0.2
20
#62
36.92.8
41.438.6
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
50%Capture oddsMissed48%Capture oddsMissed