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Red127
13358.2
173143.2
23329.5
Blue125
403940.9
46139.6
3357.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341440100200300400500127125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#29
58.20.3
59.158.7
Auto14.8
Teleop32.0
End11.3
red by 0.9
33
#53
57.31.6
58.857.2
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End11.4
Second
1731
#39
43.20.3
39.238.9
Auto10.5
Teleop29.7
End3.0
red by 2.3
4039
#34
40.91.6
42.741.1
Auto16.8
Teleop19.9
End4.2
Third
233
#65
29.50.3
33.733.4
Auto9.6
Teleop14.9
End4.9
blue by 10.1
461
#67
39.61.6
37.235.6
Auto6.4
Teleop29.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
72%Capture oddsMissed56%Capture oddsMissed