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Red137
259051.9
23442.7
180653.3
Blue155
277149.0
496741.2
124161.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148146120140160180137155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#17
53.30.3
52.151.7
Auto13.8
Teleop35.1
End4.4
blue by 8.5
1241
#30
61.80.4
58.358.7
Auto17.0
Teleop39.6
End5.1
Second
2590
#38
51.90.3
49.148.8
Auto12.2
Teleop32.6
End7.1
red by 2.8
2771
#10
49.00.4
48.048.4
Auto13.6
Teleop29.7
End5.8
Third
234
#68
42.70.3
40.840.5
Auto12.1
Teleop23.1
End7.5
red by 1.5
4967
#66
41.20.4
37.838.2
Auto8.9
Teleop25.3
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
71%Capture oddsMissed81%Capture oddsEarned