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Red260
11868.0
205675.2
3357.3
Blue185
161953.8
124161.8
13358.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260215100150200300350260185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.20.0
75.675.5
Auto20.0
Teleop43.4
End11.9
red by 13.5
1241
#30
61.80.3
62.161.8
Auto17.0
Teleop39.6
End5.1
Second
118
#2
68.00.0
68.368.2
Auto19.3
Teleop38.5
End10.2
red by 9.8
133
#29
58.20.3
58.558.2
Auto14.8
Teleop32.0
End11.3
Third
33
#53
57.30.0
57.657.6
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End11.4
red by 3.4
53.80.3
54.253.8
Auto17.5
Teleop29.3
End7.1