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Red169
173143.2
527936.5
113732.3
Blue120
44926.8
264030.8
38430.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168970200300400169120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.0
43.243.2
Auto10.5
Teleop29.7
End3.0
red by 12.4
2640
#10
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto9.5
Teleop12.6
End8.7
Second
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
red by 5.8
384
#22
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
Third
1137
#13
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End6.5
red by 5.4
449
#27
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End3.8