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Red109
108022.8
428629.7
658415.6
Blue125
188539.1
291424.2
11629.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79122050100150200250300350400109125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End5.2
blue by 9.4
1885
#20
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto7.8
Teleop24.8
End6.5
Second
1080
#12
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End3.7
blue by 7.0
116
#19
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto7.4
Teleop15.0
End7.4
Third
6584
#17
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 8.5
24.20.0
24.224.2
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End3.3