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Red74
108022.8
264030.8
112323.8
Blue90
384B15.3
291424.2
141839.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8180506070901001107490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2640
#10
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto9.5
Teleop12.6
End8.7
blue by 8.8
1418
#16
39.60.0
39.639.6
Auto11.1
Teleop20.2
End8.3
Second
1123
#21
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto10.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
blue by 0.4
24.20.0
24.224.2
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End3.3
Third
1080
#12
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End3.7
red by 7.5
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach odds88%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds8%Capture odds