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Red89
253730.6
34645.3
218614.6
Blue49
594524.3
112323.8
191519.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98640501502008949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#31
45.30.0
45.345.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
red by 21.0
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Second
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
red by 6.8
1123
#21
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto10.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Third
2186
#32
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto1.4
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 4.6
1915
#33
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach odds50%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds0%Capture odds