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Red108
428629.7
173143.2
384B15.3
Blue63
88830.6
108022.8
206832.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918705015020010863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.0
43.243.2
Auto10.5
Teleop29.7
End3.0
red by 11.2
2068
#26
32.00.0
32.032.0
Auto10.0
Teleop19.3
End2.8
Second
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End5.2
blue by 1.0
888
#24
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
Third
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End2.3
blue by 7.5
1080
#12
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
18%Capture odds7%Capture odds