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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Israel Regional
Red140
503839.1
263035.7
193721.2
Blue107
331623.9
598725.3
223123.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1198250100150200140107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5038
#12
39.10.5
38.3→38.8
Auto11.2
Teleop21.8
End6.1
red by 13.8
5987
#10
25.30.3
25.0→25.3
Auto7.6
Teleop13.9
End3.8
Second
2630
#2
35.70.5
34.9→35.3
Auto10.6
Teleop20.3
End4.8
red by 11.7
3316
#36
23.90.3
23.6→23.9
Auto9.6
Teleop10.2
End4.1
Third
1937
#27
21.20.5
20.4→20.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End3.8
blue by 2.4
2231
#17
23.60.3
23.3→23.6
Auto6.9
Teleop13.8
End2.9