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Red37
306523.6
616825.2
158017.4
Blue83
441620.8
338823.6
169041.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526901001503783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6168
#21
25.21.8
16.614.9
Auto8.0
Teleop12.4
End4.9
blue by 16.5
41.71.5
33.234.7
Auto10.4
Teleop25.1
End6.2
Second
3065
#39
23.61.8
18.616.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Level
3388
#20
23.61.5
17.318.8
Auto6.9
Teleop13.6
End3.0
Third
1580
#57
17.41.8
17.615.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.8
End3.5
blue by 3.3
4416
#30
20.81.5
14.215.7
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed