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Red34
563519.4
157725.0
331623.9
Blue79
157432.9
616825.2
555427.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567302040801001201401603479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#16
25.02.6
20.818.2
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End3.1
blue by 7.9
32.91.2
26.627.8
Auto7.9
Teleop21.6
End3.4
Second
3316
#36
23.92.6
21.519.0
Auto9.6
Teleop10.2
End4.1
blue by 3.4
5554
#22
27.41.2
26.727.9
Auto7.7
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Third
5635
#46
19.42.6
14.812.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End4.1
blue by 5.8
6168
#21
25.21.2
14.916.1
Auto8.0
Teleop12.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed