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Red47
563519.4
267918.3
306523.6
Blue20
383513.7
479413.9
193721.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545520304050607080904720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#39
23.61.4
20.018.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End4.0
red by 2.3
1937
#27
21.23.5
19.415.8
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End3.8
Second
5635
#46
19.41.4
16.915.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End4.1
red by 5.5
4794
#50
13.93.5
15.411.9
Auto1.9
Teleop11.8
End0.2
Third
2679
#34
18.31.4
17.315.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.9
End1.7
red by 4.6
3835
#55
13.73.5
16.913.4
Auto1.6
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed