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Red52
614920.8
563519.4
478415.1
Blue69
336815.0
623017.2
303429.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4460020801001201405269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6149
#15
20.80.2
17.818.0
Auto7.4
Teleop9.3
End4.1
blue by 8.2
29.01.5
22.523.9
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End5.2
Second
5635
#46
19.40.2
12.212.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End4.1
red by 2.2
6230
#54
17.21.5
16.918.4
Auto9.8
Teleop6.7
End0.7
Third
4784
#63
15.10.2
15.115.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End2.8
red by 0.1
3368
#58
15.01.5
16.417.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsMissed43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed