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Red40
466119.7
193721.2
221318.2
Blue69
555427.4
321126.5
561422.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567801001504069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1937
#27
21.21.9
19.117.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End3.8
blue by 6.1
5554
#22
27.40.3
27.927.5
Auto7.7
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Second
4661
#56
19.71.9
19.217.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.7
End3.4
blue by 6.8
26.50.3
24.023.6
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Third
2213
#47
18.21.9
19.117.1
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End2.5
blue by 4.4
5614
#13
22.60.3
20.219.9
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsMissed79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed