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Red62
529122.9
604916.6
267918.3
Blue92
592819.7
223035.5
616825.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546102040801001201406292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5291
#31
22.90.4
19.720.1
Auto8.3
Teleop10.0
End4.6
blue by 12.6
35.53.8
26.330.0
Auto8.3
Teleop22.4
End4.8
Second
2679
#34
18.30.4
16.717.1
Auto3.8
Teleop12.9
End1.7
blue by 6.9
6168
#21
25.23.8
19.223.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.4
End4.9
Third
6049
#43
16.60.4
16.817.2
Auto2.8
Teleop12.1
End1.7
blue by 3.1
5928
#19
19.73.8
12.516.3
Auto7.9
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
22%Breach oddsMissed43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed