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Red30
592819.7
440615.5
195412.9
Blue63
221318.2
165730.6
616825.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485702040801001203063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5928
#19
19.76.6
19.713.1
Auto7.9
Teleop8.6
End3.1
blue by 10.9
1657
#11
30.61.0
20.821.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.2
End5.6
Second
4406
#53
15.52.6
16.113.6
Auto2.6
Teleop10.4
End2.5
blue by 9.7
6168
#21
25.28.6
25.216.6
Auto8.0
Teleop12.4
End4.9
Third
1954
#59
12.92.6
16.213.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End2.1
blue by 5.3
2213
#47
18.21.0
17.718.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed40%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed