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Red55
561422.6
464916.3
431920.0
Blue94
474426.3
303429.0
169041.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569301505594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#13
22.60.6
22.021.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End2.9
blue by 19.1
41.70.4
40.540.9
Auto10.4
Teleop25.1
End6.2
Second
4319
#51
20.00.6
20.419.9
Auto7.5
Teleop9.1
End3.3
blue by 9.0
29.00.4
24.725.2
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End5.2
Third
4649
#61
16.30.6
17.817.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End3.0
blue by 10.1
4744
#29
26.30.4
19.820.3
Auto10.3
Teleop11.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsMissed84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed