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Red59
383513.7
194416.0
223123.6
Blue72
194326.6
527322.7
529122.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527902040601001201401605972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#17
23.61.1
25.724.6
Auto6.9
Teleop13.8
End2.9
blue by 3.0
26.60.1
30.330.2
Auto9.0
Teleop14.7
End2.9
Second
1944
#60
16.01.1
15.314.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End3.2
blue by 6.9
5291
#31
22.90.1
21.721.6
Auto8.3
Teleop10.0
End4.6
Third
3835
#55
13.71.1
13.312.1
Auto1.6
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 9.0
5273
#40
22.70.1
20.820.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsMissed74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed