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Red50
157318.0
195412.9
157620.5
Blue101
321126.5
223035.5
306523.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54750204010012014016050101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1576
#45
20.50.7
23.122.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End2.9
blue by 15.0
35.52.9
29.232.1
Auto8.3
Teleop22.4
End4.8
Second
1573
#62
18.00.7
19.819.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End1.8
blue by 8.5
26.52.9
21.924.7
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Third
1954
#59
12.90.7
13.012.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End2.1
blue by 10.7
3065
#39
23.62.9
19.021.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed