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Red51
383513.7
475718.9
616825.2
Blue118
432018.7
561422.6
263035.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5375020406010012051118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6168
#21
25.20.4
24.524.1
Auto8.0
Teleop12.4
End4.9
blue by 10.4
35.72.5
34.336.8
Auto10.6
Teleop20.3
End4.8
Second
4757
#44
18.90.4
18.017.6
Auto6.0
Teleop8.2
End4.6
blue by 3.7
5614
#13
22.62.5
21.423.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Third
3835
#55
13.70.4
12.111.7
Auto1.6
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 4.9
4320
#41
18.72.5
13.716.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed