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Red89
513524.8
432018.7
303429.0
Blue72
610425.8
306523.6
308320.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63702040801001208972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.02.5
24.627.1
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End5.2
red by 3.1
6104
#26
25.80.5
25.425.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.6
End5.5
Second
5135
#25
24.82.5
21.924.4
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End4.0
red by 1.2
3065
#39
23.60.4
23.123.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Third
4320
#41
18.72.5
16.118.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End4.2
blue by 1.6
3083
#33
20.20.4
18.519.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed