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Red175
169041.7
333935.6
474426.3
Blue110
555427.4
223035.5
221223.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12410450150200175110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.9
40.040.9
Auto10.4
Teleop25.1
End6.2
red by 6.2
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto8.3
Teleop22.4
End4.8
Second
35.61.0
33.734.7
Auto12.0
Teleop18.2
End5.4
red by 8.2
5554
#22
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto7.7
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Third
4744
#29
26.30.9
24.625.5
Auto10.3
Teleop11.4
End4.7
red by 3.3
2212
#42
23.00.0
23.123.0
Auto3.7
Teleop16.6
End2.8