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Red0
381424.0
396622.6
384434.7
Blue2
463024.4
314030.3
3959B17.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029205015020002

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
red by 4.5
3140
Unranked
30.30.0
30.330.3
Auto8.2
Teleop17.6
End4.5
Second
3814
Unranked
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End6.1
blue by 0.4
4630
Unranked
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Third
3966
Unranked
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
red by 4.7
3959B
Unranked
17.90.0
17.917.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End2.5