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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Battle for the Bluegrass
Red175
174639.8
1746B19.9
3140B15.1
Blue124
549229.0
285627.4
278335.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99114050150200250300350175124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
Unranked
39.80.0
39.8→39.8
Auto9.0
Teleop22.8
End8.0
red by 4.3
2783
Unranked
35.50.0
35.5→35.5
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End4.0
Second
1746B
Unranked
19.90.0
19.9→19.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End4.0
blue by 9.1
5492
Unranked
29.00.0
29.0→29.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End6.7
Third
3140B
Unranked
15.10.0
15.1→15.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.2
blue by 12.3
2856
Unranked
27.40.0
27.4→27.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End4.2