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Red78
512515.2
285627.4
381424.0
Blue93
463024.4
396622.6
492621.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069506080907893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2856
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End4.2
red by 3.0
4630
Unranked
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Second
3814
Unranked
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End6.1
red by 1.4
3966
Unranked
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
Third
5125
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End1.1
blue by 6.2
4926
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach odds74%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds2%Capture odds