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Red128
426531.6
1746B19.9
384434.7
Blue80
463024.4
381424.0
502227.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917505015020012880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
red by 7.6
5022
Unranked
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End4.4
Second
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
red by 7.2
4630
Unranked
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Third
1746B
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End4.0
blue by 4.1
3814
Unranked
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds59%Breach odds
Capture
14%Capture odds1%Capture odds