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Red89
384316.2
278335.5
502227.1
Blue94
549229.0
463024.4
426531.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808902003004008994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
Unranked
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End4.0
red by 3.9
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Second
5022
Unranked
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End4.4
blue by 1.9
5492
Unranked
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End6.7
Third
3843
Unranked
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End1.7
blue by 8.2
4630
Unranked
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach odds81%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds1%Capture odds