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Red49
384434.7
463024.4
4265B15.8
Blue75
174639.8
549229.0
396622.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74980501502002503003504004975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
blue by 5.0
1746
Unranked
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto9.0
Teleop22.8
End8.0
Second
4630
Unranked
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End2.8
blue by 4.6
5492
Unranked
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End6.7
Third
4265B
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End2.7
blue by 6.8
3966
Unranked
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds5%Capture odds