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Semifinal 1-12016 Battle for the Bluegrass
Red165
492621.4
150158.2
512515.2
Blue103
463024.4
314030.3
3959B17.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12289050100150200250165103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
Unranked
58.20.0
58.2→58.2
Auto18.0
Teleop28.5
End11.7
red by 27.9
3140
Unranked
30.30.0
30.3→30.3
Auto8.2
Teleop17.6
End4.5
Second
4926
Unranked
21.40.0
21.4→21.4
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End3.4
blue by 3.1
4630
Unranked
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Third
5125
Unranked
15.20.0
15.2→15.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End1.1
blue by 2.8
3959B
Unranked
17.90.0
17.9→17.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End2.5